Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.013928 0.016174 0.018653 0.021590 0.024974 0.028749 0.033278
2026-01-18 0.010504 0.013384 0.016853 0.021333 0.026959 0.033784 0.042688
2026-01-25 0.008080 0.011162 0.015166 0.020736 0.028269 0.038087 0.051842
2026-02-01 0.006442 0.009558 0.013889 0.020320 0.029602 0.042480 0.061676
2026-02-08 0.005300 0.008385 0.012937 0.020103 0.031057 0.047122 0.072412
2026-02-15 0.004362 0.007318 0.011925 0.019571 0.031887 0.050874 0.082272
2026-02-22 0.003902 0.006901 0.011811 0.020359 0.034785 0.058037 0.098209
2026-03-01 0.003376 0.006277 0.011250 0.020303 0.036264 0.063082 0.111337
2026-03-08 0.002838 0.005533 0.010360 0.019529 0.036377 0.065816 0.120860
2026-03-15 0.002478 0.005052 0.009854 0.019342 0.037458 0.070282 0.133869
2026-03-22 0.002326 0.004938 0.009999 0.020367 0.040867 0.079259 0.156066
2026-03-29 0.002136 0.004718 0.009905 0.020906 0.043402 0.086889 0.176612
2026-04-05 0.001850 0.004257 0.009279 0.020318 0.043691 0.090372 0.189787
2026-04-12 0.001639 0.003924 0.008865 0.020110 0.044722 0.095434 0.206746
2026-04-19 0.001431 0.003560 0.008332 0.019563 0.044961 0.098906 0.220858
2026-04-26 0.001263 0.003263 0.007901 0.019180 0.045493 0.103036 0.236844
2026-05-03 0.001130 0.003027 0.007573 0.018979 0.046397 0.108052 0.255335
2026-05-10 0.000996 0.002765 0.007146 0.018478 0.046535 0.111377 0.270412
2026-05-17 0.000947 0.002715 0.007225 0.019225 0.049736 0.122024 0.303609
2026-05-24 0.000861 0.002553 0.007000 0.019173 0.050975 0.128234 0.327045
2026-05-31 0.000755 0.002314 0.006538 0.018441 0.050402 0.130040 0.340026
2026-06-07 0.000684 0.002166 0.006298 0.018264 0.051237 0.135382 0.362400
2026-06-14 0.000665 0.002167 0.006468 0.019234 0.055239 0.149122 0.407692